Doom or BloomAI doomer or bloomer? Most people land in between
Plain definitions of the AI debate’s words, from doomer and bloomer to e/acc, decel, foom, x-risk, AGI and superintelligence, and where most people actually land.
· 10 min read
Blog
Plain-language notes on P(doom), AI worldviews, and how people think about the future of AI
AI’s leaders split on how it ends, not how big it is
Hinton vs LeCun, Altman vs Amodei and four more AI rivalries people search, placed on one map from simulated worldviews, with each side’s own words.
· 7 min read
Why polls on AI disagree
Polls, researcher surveys, AI-led interviews and quizzes ask about AI differently and get different answers. How they compare and what a better measure needs.
· 16 min read
Hacker News is gloomier about AI than X
The Hacker News crowd landed far more pessimistic on our map than the X crowd two days later, yet both had the same small share of true doomers.
· 7 min read
Why P(doom) estimates vary so much
What a P(doom) number means, why estimates from AI leaders range so widely, and how to read one.
· 3 min read